Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Klubi-04 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while KäPa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.0 against 38.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00