Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Köln II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Köln II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FC Gießen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gießen hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Köln II holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Köln II
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Köln II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20