Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kjelsås · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Kjelsås are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ull/Kisa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kjelsås hold a 44.2-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 24.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Kjelsås holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kjelsås
Probability
86.4%
Model confidence
9.9%
Kjelsås has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80