Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hønefoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Kjelsås are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hønefoss are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hønefoss hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 71.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Hønefoss holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hønefoss
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
7.4%
Hønefoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20