Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kjelsås · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Kjelsås are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Follo are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kjelsås hold a 47.6-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kjelsås holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kjelsås
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Kjelsås has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60