Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kitzbühel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Kitzbühel are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lustenau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kitzbühel hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (67.8 v 6.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Regionalliga - West, while Kitzbühel holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kitzbühel
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Kitzbühel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80