GGOALVIO

Kingborough Lions logoKingborough LionsvsMelbourne Victory logoMelbourne Victory

COMPLETED

Australia · Australia Cup · 7/26/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Kingborough Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Melbourne Victory are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory hold a 67.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Australia Cup, while Melbourne Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Melbourne Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kingborough LionsWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne VictoryWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kingborough LionsMelbourne Victory
0.0Attack83.3
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
7.0Power74.3
1.50xG2.34
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