GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Kingborough Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.1% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

89.1%

Model confidence

89.1%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kingborough LionsWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Glenorchy KnightsLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kingborough LionsGlenorchy Knights
91.2Attack42.6
68.4Defence38.9
75.4Form31.5
74.6Power39.0
4.29xG0.72
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