Kingborough Lionsvs
Glenorchy Knights
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 4/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Kingborough Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.1% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kingborough Lions
Probability
89.1%
Model confidence
89.1%
Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00