GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 8/8/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Lowconfidence

Kingborough Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Clarence Zebras are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and kingborough Lions hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely result in the Tasmania NPL, favouring Kingborough Lions with 9.5% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

83.1%

Model confidence

9.5%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kingborough LionsWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Clarence ZebrasWWLDD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kingborough LionsClarence Zebras
94.4Attack55.6
70.4Defence46.3
79.6Form50.0
77.6Power51.2
3.79xG0.97
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