GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/5/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kimberley Mar del Plata · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kimberley Mar del Plata are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Santamarina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kimberley Mar del Plata hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.5% in the Torneo Federal A, while Kimberley Mar del Plata holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kimberley Mar del Plata

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

31.5%

Kimberley Mar del Plata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kimberley Mar del PlataDWLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SantamarinaLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kimberley Mar del PlataSantamarina
31.5Attack17.5
79.6Defence57.9
53.7Form22.8
57.4Power34.7
0.92xG0.26
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