GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kimberley Mar del Plata are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Circulo Deportivo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kimberley Mar del Plata hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kimberley Mar del PlataWWDDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Circulo DeportivoWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kimberley Mar del PlataCirculo Deportivo
31.5Attack15.8
79.6Defence70.2
53.7Form29.8
57.4Power41.0
0.64xG0.27
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