Kilmarnockvs
Raith Rovers
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kilmarnock are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Raith Rovers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kilmarnock hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the League Cup, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40