Kilmarnockvs
Hamilton Academical
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kilmarnock are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Hamilton Academical are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kilmarnock hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the League Cup, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00