Kilmarnockvs
Ayr Utd
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 8/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ayr Utd · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kilmarnock are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ayr Utd are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ayr Utd hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 87.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the League Cup, while Ayr Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ayr Utd
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
13.2%
Ayr Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40