GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eastleigh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kidderminster Harriers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Eastleigh are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastleigh hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (42.4 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the National League, while Eastleigh holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eastleigh

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

14.3%

Eastleigh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kidderminster HarriersLWDWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
EastleighWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kidderminster HarriersEastleigh
29.0Attack52.9
57.2Defence37.0
33.3Form42.8
42.4Power45.9
1.17xG1.27
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