GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC St. Pauli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Kickers Emden are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC St. Pauli are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC St. Pauli hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC St. Pauli holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC St. Pauli

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

FC St. Pauli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kickers EmdenWDWWW

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FC St. PauliWLLLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kickers EmdenFC St. Pauli
38.1Attack66.7
9.5Defence66.7
23.8Form72.2
27.6Power69.0
1.03xG3.01
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