Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Khujand are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Khatlon are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.3 against 50.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Vysshaya Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80