GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khosilot Farkhor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Khosilot Farkhor are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sardor Tursunzoda are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDWD), averaging 1.75 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Khosilot Farkhor hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khosilot Farkhor holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khosilot Farkhor

Probability

77.6%

Model confidence

77.6%

Khosilot Farkhor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khosilot FarkhorDWLLD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sardor TursunzodaWDWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.75/0.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Khosilot FarkhorSardor Tursunzoda
73.8Attack47.6
61.9Defence38.1
66.7Form23.8
67.3Power38.2
3.21xG0.91
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