GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Orenburg II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimik Dzerzhinsk hold a 39.4-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Second League - Group 4, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

Probability

83.5%

Model confidence

13.5%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khimik DzerzhinskWWWWD

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Orenburg IIWLDDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Khimik DzerzhinskOrenburg II
91.7Attack46.7
76.7Defence46.7
88.3Form38.3
84.4Power45.1
3.03xG0.60
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