Khimik Dzerzhinskvs
Orenburg II
SCHEDULEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Orenburg II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimik Dzerzhinsk hold a 39.4-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Second League - Group 4, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Probability
83.5%
Model confidence
13.5%
Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00