GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 3/16/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Orel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Orel hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 30.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khimik DzerzhinskWLDDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OrelWLLDW

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Khimik DzerzhinskOrel
0.0Attack58.3
66.7Defence0.0
0.0Form25.0
23.7Power30.7
2.17xG1.64
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