Khimik Dzerzhinskvs
Nosta
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nosta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimik Dzerzhinsk hold a 55.8-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 94.6% in the Second League - Group 4, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk holds the strongest overall chance at 95% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Probability
94.6%
Model confidence
94.6%
Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60