GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nosta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimik Dzerzhinsk hold a 55.8-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 94.6% in the Second League - Group 4, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk holds the strongest overall chance at 95% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

Probability

94.6%

Model confidence

94.6%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khimik DzerzhinskWWDWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NostaDLWLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Khimik DzerzhinskNosta
91.7Attack26.7
76.7Defence25.0
88.3Form23.3
84.4Power28.6
4.38xG0.33
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