GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Khatlon are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while CSKA Pomir are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Pomir hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Vysshaya Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhatlonWWDWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CSKA PomirDLWDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KhatlonCSKA Pomir
47.6Attack41.0
54.8Defence64.1
42.9Form53.8
50.2Power55.1
1.08xG1.03
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