Khatlonvs
Barki Tajik
COMPLETEDTajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 3/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khatlon · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Khatlon are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Barki Tajik are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Khatlon hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khatlon holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khatlon
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Khatlon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80