GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Cup · 4/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khan Tengri · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Khan Tengri are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Kyzyl-Zhar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Khan Tengri hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Cup, while Khan Tengri holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khan Tengri

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Khan Tengri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khan TengriDWLLD

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kyzyl-ZharDDLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Khan TengriKyzyl-Zhar
100.0Attack33.3
44.4Defence83.3
66.7Form58.3
67.9Power58.9
1.47xG1.12
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