Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Køge W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Køge W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Riga W are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 3.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Køge W hold a 40.7-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the UEFA Champions League Women, while Køge W holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Køge W
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
Køge W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 3.25/1.25