GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 4/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarpsborg 08 FF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

KFUM Oslo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sarpsborg 08 FF are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarpsborg 08 FF hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Eliteserien, while Sarpsborg 08 FF holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Sarpsborg 08 FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KFUM OsloLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFLDLDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KFUM OsloSarpsborg 08 FF
37.5Attack39.6
45.8Defence56.3
37.5Form45.8
42.6Power49.6
1.04xG1.21
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