Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
KFUM Oslo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Molde are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20