Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Selfoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
KFG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Selfoss are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Selfoss hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (27.1 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.4% in the 2. Deild, while Selfoss holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Selfoss
Probability
71.4%
Model confidence
71.4%
Selfoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20