Kerryvs
Longford Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 6/26/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kerry are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Longford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.8 against 50.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20