Kerryvs
Longford Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 2/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kerry are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Longford Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.8 against 50.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00