Kerryvs
Finn Harps
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 7/24/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kerry are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Finn Harps are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kerry
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20