GGOALVIO

Kerry logoKerryvsFinn Harps logoFinn Harps

COMPLETED

Ireland · First Division · 3/20/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Kerry are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Finn Harps are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kerry

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KerryDDDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Finn HarpsDDDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
KerryFinn Harps
42.0Attack25.9
59.3Defence34.6
43.2Form27.2
49.8Power32.3
1.85xG0.56
View match centre →