Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kematen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Kematen are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Imst are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kematen hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kematen holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kematen
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Kematen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60