Kelty Heartsvs
Motherwell U21
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kelty Hearts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kelty Hearts are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Motherwell U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.8 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Challenge Cup, while Kelty Hearts holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kelty Hearts
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
10.2%
Kelty Hearts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40