GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 7/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malvern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Keilor Park are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Malvern are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Malvern hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Malvern holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Malvern

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Malvern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Keilor ParkLWLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MalvernWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Keilor ParkMalvern
45.8Attack84.7
51.4Defence59.7
52.8Form73.6
51.8Power72.0
1.14xG2.42
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