Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KDV · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
KDV are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Izhevsk are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and KDV hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Second League - Group 4, while KDV holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KDV
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
KDV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20