Kayserisporvs
Sivasspor
SCHEDULEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kayserispor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kayserispor are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sivasspor are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kayserispor hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the 1. Lig, while Kayserispor holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kayserispor
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
13.9%
Kayserispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60