GGOALVIO

Turkey · 1. Lig · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kayserispor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kayserispor are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sivasspor are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kayserispor hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the 1. Lig, while Kayserispor holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kayserispor

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

13.9%

Kayserispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KayserisporWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SivassporDLWLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KayserisporSivasspor
50.0Attack0.0
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form33.3
50.0Power45.3
1.40xG1.14
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