GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kawasaki Frontale are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 47.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

12.8%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kawasaki FrontaleLWLLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Machida ZelviaDWWDD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia
50.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence83.3
33.3Form100.0
48.3Power95.8
1.18xG1.64
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