GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kawasaki Frontale are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kawasaki Frontale hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the J1 League, while Kawasaki Frontale holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kawasaki Frontale

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

13.0%

Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kawasaki FrontaleDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kyoto SangaLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kawasaki FrontaleKyoto Sanga
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.62xG1.12
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