GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 8/16/2026, 3:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Kauno Žalgiris are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while TransINVEST Vilnius are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the A Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kauno Žalgiris

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

13.5%

Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kauno ŽalgirisWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
TransINVEST VilniusLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kauno ŽalgirisTransINVEST Vilnius
66.7Attack55.6
76.8Defence59.7
62.3Form56.9
66.9Power58.0
1.76xG0.74
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