GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 4/25/2026, 11:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Kauno Žalgiris are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FK Trakai are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 14.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.4% in the A Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kauno Žalgiris

Probability

92.4%

Model confidence

92.4%

Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kauno ŽalgirisLWWDW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FK TrakaiDDLDL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kauno ŽalgirisFK Trakai
66.7Attack9.8
76.8Defence11.8
62.3Form5.9
66.9Power14.3
3.69xG0.30
View match centre →