GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kauno Žalgiris are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Drita are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the UEFA Champions League, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kauno Žalgiris

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kauno ŽalgirisDWWLD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DritaLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kauno ŽalgirisDrita
33.3Attack50.0
44.4Defence33.3
44.4Form16.7
43.1Power36.5
1.42xG1.42
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