GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kauno Žalgiris II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kauno Žalgiris II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FA Šiauliai II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris II hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 27.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the 1 Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kauno Žalgiris II

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

14.1%

Kauno Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kauno Žalgiris IILLLLL

GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/2.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
FA Šiauliai IIDLWLD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kauno Žalgiris IIFA Šiauliai II
25.0Attack30.0
43.3Defence25.0
21.7Form18.3
32.8Power27.7
1.36xG0.93
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