GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 4/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Žalgiris II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Kauno Žalgiris II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Žalgiris II

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

56.0%

Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kauno Žalgiris IILLLLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Žalgiris IIWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kauno Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II
25.0Attack51.7
43.3Defence53.3
21.7Form51.7
32.8Power53.2
0.78xG1.72
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