Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Kassel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 74.3-point power-rating edge (12.2 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
9.5%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 17 · avg 2.60/3.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40