Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kassel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Baunatal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Baunatal hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (12.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baunatal
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
11.2%
Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 17 · avg 2.60/3.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20