GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kaspiy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Premier League, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KaspiyDLWDW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Yelimay SemeyWDDLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KaspiyYelimay Semey
34.9Attack48.3
54.0Defence60.0
34.9Form51.7
43.9Power55.2
0.86xG1.26
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