Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
25%
HighconfidenceKaspiy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ulytau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ulytau hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 25.3% confidence, a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
25.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KaspiyLWDWW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
UlytauLLDWL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
KaspiyUlytau
34.9Attack27.0
54.0Defence66.7
34.9Form44.4
43.9Power48.9
0.73xG0.69