Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Kaspiy are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atyrau are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.9 against 44.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80