GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 8/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kaspij Aktau 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kaspij Aktau 2 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Yelimay Semey 2 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaspij Aktau 2 hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the 1. Division, while Kaspij Aktau 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kaspij Aktau 2

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

11.3%

Kaspij Aktau 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kaspij Aktau 2LWWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Yelimay Semey 2WLLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kaspij Aktau 2Yelimay Semey 2
49.0Attack25.5
41.2Defence41.2
41.2Form23.5
43.5Power33.3
1.96xG0.93
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